Conf = NESCAC
Nickname = ME Polar Bear Coach = Bill MasonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.9417801 home-field advantage = -0.47 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 H Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 6, 93.6) 13- 6 306 H Western New England CCC (10- 6, 92.2) 19- 9 309 H Middlebury NESCAC ( 8- 7, 96.6) 16-10 313 A Endicott CCC (14- 1, 95.6) 14-17 316 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 4- 9, 91.2) 19-11 319 A MIT NEWMAC ( 5- 9, 90.7) 22-14 326 A Babson NEWMAC (12- 3, 96.9) 6-13 330 A Hamilton NESCAC ( 8- 6, 94.4) 15- 8 402 A Bates NESCAC ( 3-11, 90.3) 16-14 410 H Colby NESCAC ( 6- 8, 92.1) 25- 5 413 H Williams NESCAC ( 9- 6, 95.6) 14- 6 415 H Amherst NESCAC (10- 5, 96.9) 19- 8 420 A Wesleyan NESCAC (12- 3, 97.4) 12-16 424 A Tufts NESCAC (13- 2, 99.9) 13-16
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Trinity 13- 6 7 4 + 2.14 306 H Western New England 19- 9 10 6 0.78 309 H Middlebury 16-10 6 1 ++ 4.19 313 A Endicott 14-17 -3 1 -- -4.93 316 A Connecticut College 19-11 8 6 0.76 319 A MIT 22-14 8 6 0.20 326 A Babson 6-13 -7 0 --- -7.58 330 A Hamilton 15- 8 7 3 + 3.96 402 A Bates 16-14 2 7 -- -5.00 410 H Colby 25- 5 20 6 0.68 413 H Williams 14- 6 8 2 ++ 4.18 415 H Amherst 19- 8 11 1 ++ 5.49 420 A Wesleyan 12-16 -4 0 -- -4.04 424 A Tufts 13-16 -3 -2 -0.58UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A Babson 6-13 -7 0 --- -7.58 313 A Endicott 14-17 -3 1 -- -4.93 402 A Bates 16-14 2 7 -- -5.00 420 A Wesleyan 12-16 -4 0 -- -4.04OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 309 H Middlebury 16-10 6 1 ++ 4.19 413 H Williams 14- 6 8 2 ++ 4.18 415 H Amherst 19- 8 11 1 ++ 5.49 302 H Trinity 13- 6 7 4 + 2.14 330 A Hamilton 15- 8 7 3 + 3.96
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 97.95 Power Rank................. 4 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 87.03 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 5 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6796 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 23 RPI Rating............... .6336 RPI Rank................... 19 Champ. Probability ...... 7.5 Championship Rank ......... 4 Selection sum ........... 67 Selection Rank ............ 18 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 40. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 15 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -10. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 25 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 15.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 11.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3